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#投資組合分散

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Wealth Awakening

91% of Taiwan Retail Investors Lose Money! The 5 Deadly Sins—The 3rd Is the Most Fatal

According to TWSE statistics, the proportion of Taiwan retail investors with consistent long-term profits is below 10%; over 90% lose money in the market. You open your Taiwan stock app, see the numbers dropping again, and your finger hovers over the screen unsure whether to cut losses—is this a scene you live through every day? This article breaks down 5 deadly sins for Taiwan retail investors: chasing rallies and selling on dips, over-concentration, no stop-loss (disposition effect), ignoring trading costs and taxes, and no investment plan. The 3rd sin is the most fatal: the disposition effect causes you to sell winners too early and stop losses on losers too late. Using NT$1M as a sample: even at half-price commissions, monthly turnover can eat 7–8% of return per year in trading costs alone, plus a 0.5% difference in ETF management fee can mean a six-figure gap over 20 years of compounding. Includes 4 iron rules, 4 action steps, and differentiated strategies for different groups.

17 min
Wealth Awakening

Pick Stocks With Only Two Numbers: The Complete Guide to P/E Ratio and ROE

You spent NT$300K on a stock and a year later it's only NT$200K — that's not bad luck, you were reading the wrong numbers from the start. A NT$50 stock can be 10 times more expensive than a NT$500 stock. Using the Taiwan Weighted Index's average P/E of 15–20x and ROE above 15% as quality benchmarks, this article breaks down the two core numbers — P/E ratio and ROE (including ROE trend, whether ROE comes from core operations or non-operating gains, treasury stock distortions). The Taiwan Weighted Index rose more than 3x from 2003 to 2023, but that gain was not evenly distributed across every stock. Includes 4 iron rules, 4 action steps, a five-question decision framework, and differentiated strategies by demographic. The 2000 dot-com crash saw the weighted index fall from 10,000 to around 3,000 — a 70%+ drop needing 15 years to recover. The 2008 financial crisis saw about a 60% drop with 3–4 years to recover. Many high-P/E low-ROE stocks from the 2000 high never came back. Real investors should check ROE trends for 3–5 consecutive years via the Market Observation Post System (MOPS).

15 min