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#巴菲特選股

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Wealth Awakening

Stop Giving Money to the Market Makers! The 99% Retail Trader's Rally-Chasing Trap and Buffett's Three Questions

You buy, it drops. You sell, it rallies. You cut your loss, it soars—is the big money really watching your tiny account? The truth is, you're not unlucky—you're stuck in the retail trader's hamster wheel. This article, in the plainest language possible, breaks down the time-lag lie behind "chasing the hot name," Buffett's counter-intuitive three-question stock filter, the two deadly value traps, and finally hands you three things you can do right now: ask three questions before buying, learn to read three numbers, and carve the word "wait" into your heart.

12 min
Wealth Awakening

Pick Stocks With Only Two Numbers: The Complete Guide to P/E Ratio and ROE

You spent NT$300K on a stock and a year later it's only NT$200K — that's not bad luck, you were reading the wrong numbers from the start. A NT$50 stock can be 10 times more expensive than a NT$500 stock. Using the Taiwan Weighted Index's average P/E of 15–20x and ROE above 15% as quality benchmarks, this article breaks down the two core numbers — P/E ratio and ROE (including ROE trend, whether ROE comes from core operations or non-operating gains, treasury stock distortions). The Taiwan Weighted Index rose more than 3x from 2003 to 2023, but that gain was not evenly distributed across every stock. Includes 4 iron rules, 4 action steps, a five-question decision framework, and differentiated strategies by demographic. The 2000 dot-com crash saw the weighted index fall from 10,000 to around 3,000 — a 70%+ drop needing 15 years to recover. The 2008 financial crisis saw about a 60% drop with 3–4 years to recover. Many high-P/E low-ROE stocks from the 2000 high never came back. Real investors should check ROE trends for 3–5 consecutive years via the Market Observation Post System (MOPS).

15 min