Iran-US Deal in 24 Hours: 3 Counterintuitive Signals for Options Traders
The U.S.–Iran deal in Switzerland on June 22 sent oil down 3%, the Shanghai Composite up 1.78%, and gold up against the grain. Three markets moved in three directions in 24 hours. This is not one event hitting one market — it is one event hitting three markets with three different pricing engines. Three counterintuitive signals for options traders: geopolitics is a timeline not a headline, cross-market linkage broke the straddle formula, and quiet VIX is when you should be trading the IV structure.
